Premier League: Klopp's Reds can't afford mistakes

Jurgen Klopp said Liverpool have “no chance” of catching Manchester City after the Reds beat Leicester on Thursday night.

Nine points separate the teams at the top of the Premier League although Klopp’s side have a game in hand.

Win that and they could further close the gap when the two meet at the Etihad in April but now Liverpool simply cannot afford to drop any points.

Expectation is they will come away from Turf Moor with a victory on Sunday and they are at 1.32 to get three points. The division’s bottom side are at 11.5 to claim an unlikely win.

Burnley the draw specialists

The Clarets are propping up the table after paying the price for failing to address the issue of an ageing squad last summer.

That was compounded by the sale of Chris Wood to relegation rivals Newcastle with the New Zealander offering far more than just being a target man.

Sean Dyche’s side have won just once all season against Brentford back in October but they have only lost eight, the same as fourth-placed West Ham.

Burnley have up to three games in hand on the teams around them but they need to convert some draws into narrow wins to make this count.

They have drawn 11 with three on the bounce including in midweek against Manchester United where they came from a goal down and a draw is at 5.9.

Contrasting fortunes in front of goal

Burnley have found the net 17 times this season with Maxwel Cornet the top scorer with six and he is at 5.4 to score any time.

They have only scored more than one goal in a match on four occasions and it is hard to see this changing against the Reds who have conceded 19 all season.

A Liverpool clean sheet is at 1.87.

In stark contrast, the Reds are the division’s top scorers with 60.

Sadio Mane, back from scoring the winning penalty for Senegal in the Africa Cup of Nations, has scored five goals against the Clarets and he is at 1.82 to score any time.

Mo Salah returned from the Africa Cup of Nations to feature against Leicester and the 16-goal forward is at 1.52 as anytime goalscorer.

Expect a tight game

Given Burnley have only conceded nine goals at Turf Moor, indications are it will be a tight game and odds of 2.3 for under 2.5 is good value.

The Reds beat Burnley 2-0 at Anfield in August - including a goal from Mane - and they are at 6.6 to repeat that scoreline.

Recommended Bets:

Under 2.5 @ 2.3

Liverpool to win 2-0 @ 6.6

Liverpool clean sheet @ 1.87